Die verkiesing is hierdie jaar op hande. Alle stemgeregtes doen een van twee dinge. Of hy stem vir die ANC of hy stem teen hulle. Diegene wat verkies om glad nie te stem nie, stem in daadwerklikheid vir die ANC, sonder dat hulle daarvan selfs bewus is, want ’n stem van die gesamentlike opposisiepartye ontneem, versterk die ANC-stem.
Vir Afrikaners wat teen die ANC stem, is daar ’n wye keuses van opposisiepartye. Daar is selfs die Afrikaner-party in die vorm van die VF+, ’n Mulder familiesaak (twee broers en nefie in sleutelposte), met een voet in die ANC en die ander as lippedienende opposisie. In Natal is daar heelwat Afrikaners in sleutelposte van die IVP, Koos van der Merwe onder ander. COPE het ook sy Afrikaner-ondersteuners. Die DA het die meerderheid Afrikanerstemme in die laaste verkiesing getrek.
Feitlik gaan nie enige opposisieparty in eie reg die ANC uit die kussings kan lig nie. Dit kan ’n moontlikheid word indien die opposisiepartye ’n koalisie, met ’n verenigde front die verkiesing toetakel. Dan weer, is die kanse nog steeds nie goed genoeg om die ANC te ontsetel nie. Die toetrede van die EFF van Malema sal die bepalende faktor word tot watter mate hy dit gaan regkry om ontevrede ANC-kiesers grootskaals af te rokkel om sodoende die gesamentlike opposisie te versterk. Dit is sterk te betwyfel of enige Afrikaner vir die EFF sal stem.
Behalwe vir die VF+, is geen opposisieparty ten gunste van ’n Afrikanersaak nie. Maar feitlik het die Afrikaner die VF+ die trekpas gegee, en dit is te betwyfel of hulle na die 2014-verkiesing enige verteenwoordiging in die parlement gaan behou, en ek is van mening dat hulle heeltemal van die toneel gaan verdwyn met sy huidige leier, soos Martinus Van Schalkwyk, vir persoonlike gewin, in die ANC opgeneem word.
Die Afrikaner stempatroon toon aan hy aanvaar die multikulturele staat, en aanvaar ook dat sy belange nie in die parlement bevredig gaan word nie. Op beste, mettertyd ’n Afrikaner koukus, soortgelyk aan die swart koukus van die VSA, wat oor die grense van politieke partye in die parlement strek, om sodoende ’n drukgroep vir Afrikanerbelange te kan vorm. Huidig is Afrikanerbelange se hoogste prioriteit om die ANC te help ontsetel. Sodra die ANC ontsetel is, sal die Afrikaner kan besin tot watter mate hy deel van die nuwe regering wil word. Sy stem sal in elk geval in die nuwe koalisie regering gehoor word, wat tans glad nie met die ANC die geval is nie. In enige koalisie regering, is daar gevoeligheid tot watter mate enige lede van sodanige koalisie die stabiliteit van die regering kan ontwrig, en in sodanige koalisie, is die Afrikaner een van vele wat die hef in die hand sal he.
Die sterkste bevordering van Afrikanerbelange, bly buite-parlementêr, veral in die vorm van die burgerregte groep, AfriForum.
Jaco Fourie
Kommentaar
Bollie Jaco Fourie ... jou paradoks staan duidelik in jou eerste en laaste paragrawe - jy beywer jou dus by implikasie vir 'n ANC stem! ... toemaar, dink goed na - die res van jou gedagte is nie te sleg nie ... ek sal eerlik my plig doen om jou voor die verkiesing behoorlik in te lig ... Cornelius Henn
Dit is natuurlik wensdenkery om daarvan te droom dat die ANC ontsetel gaan word. Dit is nou eenmaal die patroon in Afrika dat regerende swart partye nie maklik van hul magsposisie sal afsien nie. Dit is 'n algemene tendens dat die staatsmasjinerie ingespan word om die stem van die kiesers te werf. Die samestelling van die Suid-Afrikaanse bevolking volgens http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/P0302/P03022013.pdf
is soos volg.
Let asb op dat die term 'Black' vervang is met 'African' , blykbaar is al die ander nie 'Africans' nie.
African 42 284 100 79.8%
Coloured 4 766 200 9.0%
Indian/Asian 1 329 300 2.5%
White 4 602 400 8.7%
Total 52 982 000 100.0%
Uit die swart bevolking van 42.4 miljoen kan ongeveer 27 miljoen stem, maar dit is nie bekend hoeveel van hulle sal registreer vir vanjaar se verkiesing.
Vir die kleurlingbevolking en blanke bevolking is dit na beraming 3.2 miljoen elk en vir die Indian/asian bevolking 1 miljoen.
Die syfers is nie presies nie maar eerder aanduidend. Daar is dus byna 20 miljoen meer 'African' stemgeregtigde kiesers as al die ander bevolkingsgroepe saam. Die kanse dat die ANC uit die saal gelig gaan word is dus mi besonder skraal en dit sal 'n reuse wegswaai van die 'African' kiesers na ander partye verg om dit te bewerkstellig.
Van die geregistreerde kiesers in 2009 het 5.26 miljoen geregistreerde kiesers (22.7%) van 23.18 miljoen buite stemming gebly. Of die Blanke stem, erg verdeeld, enige betekenisvolle rol in die komende verkiesing gaan speel sal slegs die tyd leer.
F.C. Boot
Ek betwis nie jou bevolkingsindeling nie. Ek het ook nie voorgegee dat die gesamentlik of afsonderlike blanke, Indier of Bruin stem alleenlik ooit die ANC uit die kussings gaan lig nie. Wat ek wel voorgestel het was dat die gesamentlike opposisie van alle partye, met die moontlike uitsondering van die EFF, wat tog met die ANC sal saamstaan, 'n moontlikheid het om wel die ANC tot sy knie te bring. Miskien nie in hierdie jaar nie, maar 'n baie beter kans in 2019. Die gesamentlike opposisie is tans by verre oorwegend swart. En ja. Die swart opposisie stem sal altyd die finale oorwegende faktor wees wat sal bepaal om die ANC uit hul regeringspos te ontsetel.
Blankes, Indiers en Bruines se stem het ook 'n beslissende rol, tesame met die meerderheid swart opposisie stem om die ANC se 2/3 meerderheid verder in hierdie verkiesing te verlaag, sodat hulle geen kans in eie reg het om die konstitusie tot nadeel, veral van die Afrikaner unilateraal te kan wysig nie.
Blankes wat weerhou om vir enige opposisie party te stem, en daardeur die ANC stem verder te versterk deur hulle 'n moontlike groter as 2/3rd meerderheid te gee om die konstitusie tot nadeel van die Afrikaner te kan verander, sal net hulself moet blameer wanneer die ANC verdere diskriminerende wetgewing instel, en wat dit onmoontlik maak vir burgerregte organsisasies soos AfriForum, om die ANC, soos tans, met sukses in die howe te kan beveg.
Met elke daaropvolgende jaar sedert 2009, groei swart ontevredenheid met die ANC. Onlangs NUMSA, die grootste lid van COSATO, se steun onttrekking gaan hierdie jaar beslis tot watter mate die ANC seer gaan kry.
Deur niks te doen nie, en te hensop vir die ANC deur glad nie vir enige opposisie party te stem nie, sal beslis niks vir die blanke in die sak bring nie. "Nothing tried, nothing gained"
Jaco Fourie
Beste Jaco
Alhoewel die tendens om oorwegend langs kleurlyne en partye te stem besig is om af te neem, is dit mi nie genoeg om die ANC te ontsetel nie, nie nou of in die nabye toekoms nie. Die ANC is 'n party uiters bedrewe in 'window dressing' en dit is nie verbasend dat, nieteenstaande alle kritiek op die matriekuitslae, die ' ANC-spin doctors' besig is om die beste prestasie sedert 1994 deeglik onder die kiesers se aandag te bring. Hier is 'n paar interessante artikels wat jy kan lees.
1.Election 2014: South Africa’s first big issue poll
2.Almost one in four young South Africans won’t vote in 2014 – survey
3.Black youth distrust DA, survey shows
4.Zuma: ANC will continue to run this government forever and ever
5.Matric passes an increase in numbers and quality – ANC
1.Election 2014: South Africa’s first big issue poll http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2013-11-14-election-2014-south-africas-first-big-issue-poll/#.Us1Rj_uzKf4 Ranjeni Munusamy 14 Nov 2013 02:01 (South Africa)
It is difficult to believe that over an average weekend in November, over 2.5 million South Africans participated in a single activity without much fuss. South Africa’s electoral system is now grown up and remains amongst the most credible on the continent. The success of the two-day voter registration weekend shows that there is significant public interest in next year’s elections and predictions that South Africa’s fifth democratic elections will be the most highly contested so far are on point. This could also be the first election about real issues instead of just race and party loyalty.
Exactly a year ago this week, eight opposition parties led by the Democratic Alliance (DA) tabled a motion of no confidence in President Jacob Zuma in the National Assembly. Among the reasons the parties gave for wanting to vote Zuma out of office were the Marikana massacre; the Nkandla scandal; government’s failure to deliver textbooks to school children in Limpopo and the Eastern Cape; the downgrading of South Africa’s credit rating by two major rating agencies; a “mounting disrespect” for the country’s Constitution and judiciary; the growing number of unemployed; and, a “rising tide” of corruption in the public service.
The motion of no confidence had no chance of succeeding if put to a vote but was timed ahead of the ANC’s national conference in Mangaung. Opposition parties wanted to tap into factional battles in the ruling party in the hope that some ANC MPs would side with them in a vote against the president. They also hoped that by highlighting the failings of the Zuma administration, they could influence sentiment against the president in the ANC, which would prevent his re-election for a second term as the party president.
The ploy failed miserably. Zuma was re-elected with an overwhelming majority and the motion got bogged down in parliamentary scheduling and an ensuing legal battle. Despite this being a political manoeuvre, albeit a trifling one, to have a sitting president ousted, there was not much public alarm or interest in the affair. The issues the opposition parties were basing the motion of no confidence on are generally the issues that made people angry and unhappy last year. But despite their best efforts to drum up public emotion to turn sentiment against Zuma, the episode came and went, and life in South Africa went on as usual.
A year later, South Africa’s voting population is paying attention to democratic processes which they know has a real bearing on the future of the country. Despite concerns about voter apathy and people disengaging due to despondency over government delivery backlogs and corruption, the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) announced on Tuesday that over 2.5 million people visited registration stations across the country over the weekend. Of these, 1.088,015 million (43.3%) were new voters registering for the first time.
The other 1.4 million people visited the stations to either confirm or change their registration. All these people took the initiative to participate in the electoral system even before election season has begun in full swing. The voters’ roll now stands at over * 25.6 million registered people, representing 77% of eligible voters. Sien voetnota Although over 80% of all new registrations were young people, the IEC is still concerned about the low percentage of 18-19 year olds who are registered – only 22.6%.*
This means that new generation voters born after 1994 are yet to get excited about the prospect of voting for the first time. South Africa’s elections have up to now been very much about race and party loyalty. Voting patterns up to now have not been defined on issues and South Africa might still have a long way to go before parties are elected and held to account based on their election promises.
The 1994 and 1999 elections were during the honeymoon period of South Africa’s democratic transition and most voters were romantic about the ANC. The 2004 election however was quite a different scenario. The government under former President Thabo Mbeki had a bad run with negative perceptions over the handling of the Aids crisis, crime and Zimbabwe.
There were also serious tensions between state agencies and camp warfare within the ANC was taking root. Cosatu and the SACP were shunned by the ANC leadership at the time. Yet all of these did not affect the ANC negatively at the polls. The warring factions in the party and the alliance closed ranks and went all out on the campaign trail. The ANC’s support base also rallied. As a result, the ANC registered its highest poll at 69.69%, exceeding a two-thirds majority. In 2009, the dynamics changed dramatically again.
Mbeki was ousted, the Congress of the People (Cope) split from the ANC and Jacob Zuma rose to the top. The introduction of Cope on the political scene, which ran on an anti-Zuma ticket, also caused the party faithful in the ANC to close ranks and flex muscle. Although the ANC gained over 770,000 more votes than it did in 2004, its percentage of the total poll dropped to 65.9%. The DA began to define itself outside its traditional base of white liberals and was therefore able to rise from 12.3% in 2004 to 16.6% in 2009.
The 2009 election had very little to do with real issues and the campaigns were mainly about defending the ANC and for the DA and Cope, stopping Zuma. While there is unlikely to be a sea change in voting patterns in 2014, it is bound to be more about issues than in the past. Violent service delivery protests and labour strikes have ramped up the pressure on the ANC government.
These might not be new phenomena and might not translate into a negative vote for the ANC. However, there is now a political organisation campaigning on the discontent with the ANC and reeling in those angry and disappointed with the government. The Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) also has alternate and radical policy proposals which they are projecting as the path to the promised land for the poor, the unemployed and the disenchanted.
There has never been a political party which has been able to campaign effectively in this constituency, armed with populist rhetoric and big personalities with a point to prove. The EFF ticket might be bolstered directly or indirectly by convulsions within Cosatu, particularly with its biggest union Numsa, representing metalworkers, holding a special congress to decide whether to continue supporting the ANC. Numsa and EFF have common perspectives on issues such as nationalisation, land redistribution and the economy, so if the metalworkers decide to stop supporting the ANC, Julius Malema’s party might be the next stop.
The DA is campaigning on a big anti-corruption ticket after a series of scandals in government over wasting of taxpayers’ money, patronage and abuse of power. However there is no telling yet whether issues such as the upgrade of the president’s private home at Nkandla or the Guptas landing their jet at Waterkloof Air Force base will have a mass effect on voting patterns.
While sections of the middle class and the commentariat might be consumed with such issues, it is not clear whether these scandals will cause mass deviations in voter behaviour. If ANC voters did not turn away from their party when their communities were ravaged by Aids, it is doubtful whether they will trade their loyalties over issues which are far removed from their own lives.
The DA is also vesting heavily on the issue of e-tolls in Gauteng. There is plenty of unhappiness over electronic tolling of the province’s freeways, but whether people will vote for the DA because of this is uncertain. As it is, behind the election bluster, the DA cannot stop the system even if it gains control of the province - it can only prevent more roads being tolled. The issue that can catch fire, though, is that of policing.
The South African Police Service has been drowning in controversy over the past few years. Their conduct at Marikana, in the killing of taxi driver Mido Macia and incidents of harassment, rape and robbing of civilians has led to people resenting and fearing the police. The scandals involving the police leadership, including the marauding crime intelligence division and ineptitude of National Police Commissioner Riah Phiyega, has covered the SAPS in shame. Crime and policing have a direct effect on people’s lives. It may not be just yet but can become a major election issue.
The problem is that there is no proper discourse on what is wrong with the police on how to fix it. No political party seems to have clear thinking on what to do to clean up the police service and put in place proper leadership. Job creation is a perennial election issue and the ANC will have tough time convincing the country that it will finally be able to get the economy to do produce the jobs it has been promising since 1994. It will be the ANC’s area of vulnerability in this election.
But other than pushing the youth employment incentive scheme, which has now been passed into law, the DA has no big job creation ideas to capture people’s imagination on the campaign trail. This is why the EFF’s rhetoric on economic freedom could have resonance, particularly among the youth and the unemployed. The ANC’s campaign rests on the National Development Plan (NDP). In order to sell it, its leaders will need to understand and own it. Right now, the NDP is spoken of in general terms and treated as a big wish list for the future. That will have to change on the campaign trail into real deliverables if the ANC is to convince its traditional constituency to remain in the fold and give hope to new young voters looking for opportunities for the future.
Of course the ANC will continue to trade on its 102-year history and traditional loyalties. But a large proportion of youth voters with no memory of the ANC’s glory days means the ANC will have to come up with new ideas this time around to maintain an electoral majority over 60%. With more than 25 million people eligible to vote and more competition on the political spectrum, Election 2014 promises to be a hard-fought poll. Political parties will have to work hard for every vote and be able to debate the big issues. After 20 years, that will be the best affirmation of democracy.
Nota:25,7 miljoen kiesers verteenwoordig 77 % van 33.38 miljoen kiesers teenoor my beraming van 34.4 miljoen op 2013 bevolkingsyfers.
2.Almost one in four young South Africans won’t vote in 2014 – survey 4 July 2013 10:01 http://www.citypress.co.za/politics/almost-one-in-four-young-south-africans-wont-vote-in-2014-survey/
Almost one in four young South Africans do not plan to vote in the 2014 general elections, a survey by Pondering Panda has found. “It is concerning that almost one in four young people might stay home and not cast their vote in 2014, but what is of even greater concern are their reasons for doing so,” said Pondering Panda spokeswoman Shirley Wakefield.
“The vast majority of respondents with no plans to vote feel nothing will change no matter who wins, or that there is no one worth voting for.” She said this indicated a strong sense of disillusionment with both politicians and the political process. “If competing parties want to tap into these disaffected voters, they need to field candidates who are better able to connect with young people, and demonstrate a commitment to meaningful change in South Africa, if elected.”
The survey found that 23% of young people did not intend voting, compared with 74% who planned to vote. Wakefield said 3 725 people between the ages of 18 and 34 were interviewed across the country. Young people in the Northern Cape and Gauteng were found to be “least likely to vote”.
Young people most likely to vote were in North West, KwaZulu-Natal, and the Western Cape. About 19% of people in each of these provinces said they did not plan to vote. “There were no significant differences according to age, gender, or race,” the survey found. The survey found that young black and coloured South Africans were most likely to think nothing would change regardless of the result of the elections.
People were also asked whether the new political parties, Agang SA and Julius Malema’s proposed Economic Freedom Fighters, changed the way they felt about voting in 2014. “Reaction to this question was almost evenly split, with 39% of respondents saying these new parties made it more important to go out and vote, and 40% saying that having Agang SA and the EFF on the ballot did not change the way they felt about voting,” it said. All interviews were carried out on cellphones between June 26 and July 1.
3.Black youth distrust DA, survey shows 23 April 2013 16:40 http://www.citypress.co.za/politics/black-youth-distrust-da-survey-shows/
Many young black South Africans believe the DA will bring back apartheid should it come to power in the next national election, a study has found. The survey released today found 54% of black youth questioned expected the DA would revert to apartheid if it won next year’s general election. 26% of Indians, 21% of coloureds, and 19% of whites agreed. The cellphone survey by Pondering Panda was conducted among 3 009 people aged between 15 and 34. 46% of all respondents believed the DA would bring back apartheid. 36% disagreed and 18% were unsure.
When asked whether the ANC-led government had implemented reverse apartheid, 45% of the youth disagreed, 40% agreed, and 15% were unsure. Pondering Panda spokesperson Shirley Wakefield said it was clear people had mixed views about what political parties stood for. “Almost 20 years after our first democratic elections, many still believe that apartheid will return if the DA comes to power, while others believe that the ANC is implementing a policy of apartheid in reverse,” she said.
“These perceptions are likely to play a major role in the next elections, and both parties need to do much more to educate young South Africans about what they stand for if they are to change their minds.” -
Sapa 4.Zuma: ANC will continue to run this government forever and ever Sabelo Ndlangisa @Bhintsintsi #ANCJan8 8 January 2014 14:09 http://www.citypress.co.za/politics/anc-will-continue-run-government-forever-ever-zuma/
President Jacob Zuma sings Umshini Wam at the end of his speech in the Mpumalanga township of Kanyamazane on Wednesday (January 8 2014). Picture: Sabelo Ndlangisa/Twitter President Jacob Zuma says those who think the ANC will lose votes this year are dreaming. Zuma said the ANC would continue running the country despite what the party’s detractors were saying. There is speculation that the ANC could lose its electoral support if Zuma remained at its helm. “We want every vote. We will continue to run this government forever and ever. Whether they like it or not,” he told ANC supporters in isiZulu.
Zuma was speaking in the Mpumalanga township of Kanyamazane where the party had organised an impromptu door-to-door campaign to mark its 102nd birthday. He said the party wanted every vote and suggested it should get more than 90% in Mpumalanga where its support stands at about 80%. He promised to return to slaughter cattle in celebration only if the ANC got more than 90% in the province.
“We are doing something unusual. After 20 years in power, liberation movements tend to falter. We are stronger than before. We will continue. We will continue running this government forever and ever. Whether they like it or not,” Zuma said“There are those who say the ANC will not win because people no longer love it. We are going to hammer them. They are dreaming while they are awake. When a person dreams while they walk it means they are unwell,” he said. The ANC will launch its election manifesto at the Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit on Saturday, officially kicking off its 2014 election campaign.
Zuma said the party was not ashamed of its performance record as it had worked hard over the past 20 years to improve the lives of people. “Did you see how well the children [matrics] passed? We work hard. Do you know what caused that? We saw that education needed a foundation. We built it and it will never be weak again. “There are some people who say something has not gone right.
There was something wrong with the papers. Our children are smart, they were born in the freedom era. “They used to say a black person will never pass well. I heard a white person saying ‘There should be an investigation, they can’t pass like this.’ They are still suffering from that old thing … that a black person is not smart,” he said in an apparent reference to DA leader Helen Zille’s call for a probe into the latest matric results.
He said the manifesto would outline what the ANC would do in power going forward. Zuma said he was surprised that some people who did not fight for freedom were now talking a lot now that the country was free. He said they were free to do so as people no longer faced arrest or death for speaking out. He suggested that people should ignore the small parties that were lobbying for their votes, saying that they would never win the elections. “When you vote for them, you are throwing your vote,” he said.
5.Matric passes an increase in numbers and quality – ANC #Matric2013 7 January 2014 8:27 http://www.citypress.co.za/politics/matric-passes-increase-numbers-quality-anc/ ANC
spokesperson Jackson Mthembu. The African National Congress has welcomed the 2013 matric pass rate announced by Basic Education Minister Angie Motshekga. “These results reflect an increase not only in the number of schools passing, but also in the quality of passes,” spokesman Jackson Mthembu said in a statement. “We are particularly pleased by the improvement in the key gateway subjects of mathematics and science.” Motshekga announced a 78.2% pass rate for the 2013 matric class. In 2009, when Motshekga took over as minister, the pass rate was 60.6%. It has climbed steadily since then.
The party congratulated the Free State and North West for being the first and second best performing provinces in the country. The Free State increased its pass rate from 81.1% in 2012 to 87.4% in 2013. The North West improved from 79.5% to 87.2%. Mthembu said more needed to be done to improve the education system. “While indeed these results are a cause for celebration, there is still much more work to be done. Our education system must ensure that no child is left behind in our quest to develop a knowledgeable and skilled citizenry.
“Provinces that continue to face challenges and have not performed well should put in more effort in the coming years.” Meanwhile, Sadtu also welcomed the results. “The many hours spent by the candidates… not only in the final school year but in the entire schooling life… has been well spent,” said SA Democratic Teachers’ Union general secretary Mugwena Maluleke in a statement. “The results can be attributed to dedication, tenacity and hard work that were trademarks of our fallen world icon Tata Nelson Mandela.” The union praised teachers for their part. “They are the real heroes and heroines… they have managed to play their part in ensuring that the doors of learning remain open to the African working class child.” - Sapa "
Die slaagvereistes is soos volg:
Matric Pass Requirements How are my Grade 12 Results calculated?
25% Internal Assessment (the mark given to you by your school) and 75% External Exam (Finals) – except for LO, which is 100% Internal Assessment.
What are the Minimum Requirements for the different NSC Passes? Higher Certificate Pass: a minimum 40% for 3 subjects (one of which must be a Home Language), a minimum of 30% for a further 3 subjects, and fail (less than 30%) a 7th subject. Also, you will need to achieve a minimum of 30% in the teaching language of the Higher Education Institution to which you are applying, if you want to further your studies.
IMPORTANT: Even if you get 6 A’s, but fail your 7th subject (get less that 30% for it), you will only achieve a Higher Certificate Pass!
Diploma Pass: a minimum of 40% for 4 subjects (one of which must be a Home Language), and a minimum of 30% for the other 3 subjects.
IMPORTANT: You cannot fail any subject (get a final mark of less than 30%)!
Bachelor’s Pass: a minimum of 50% for 4 subjects, and a minimum of 30% for the other 3 subjects (you must achieve a minimum of 40% for a Home Language).
IMPORTANT: You cannot fail any subject (get a final mark of less than 30%)!
F.C. Boot
Dankie vir jou heel insiggewende terugvoer mbt. voorspellings vir hierdie jaar se verkiesing, asook leerling prestasie vir verlede jaar se matrieks.
'n Interessante stelling hierbo wil ek net graag op kommentaar lewer, nl. "Although the ANC gained over 770,000 more votes than it did in 2004, its percentage of the total poll dropped to 65.9%".
Wat die skrywer verseg het om te noem is dat hierdie aanwins gevolg het op Inkatha se grootskaalse verliese in Natal gedurende die 2009 verkiesing, waar hulle parlementêre verteenwoordiging erg besnoei is. Inkatha onder die grotes het die ergste in genoemde verkiesing gevaar. Hierdie oorloop van Inkatha kiesers na die ANC was meer as genoeg om die verliese van ANC kiesers aan COPE op te maak, maar te min met die groter kiesertal vergeleke met 2004 om sy vorige meer as tweederde meerderheid te kon behou. Voor 2009 kon die ANC in eie reg die konstitusie na willekeur wysig, maar dit op daardie stadium nie nodig geag nie, want hulle het nie die vele verset (merendeels aan AfriForum te danke) in die konstitusionele hof ondervind soos wat hulle dit na 2009 ondervind nie. 'n Ander party wat in die 2009 verkiesing erg in die slag gely het is die VF+ waar Afrikaners eerder grootskaals vir die DA gestem het.
Met 'n karige 0.1% onder die 66% vlak, is die ANC verhoed om in eie reg die konstitusie enigsins te kon wysig, 'n groot seen vir die hele bevolking. Daar was verskeie "issues" die afgelope vyf jaar wat die ANC onomwonde gestel het waar hulle graag die konstitusie gewysig sou wou he.
Dan is daar die swart wanpersepsies oor die DA, waar 'n ongelooflike groot persentasie swartes steeds glo dat indien die DA in bewind kom, hulle die beleid van die vorige regering sal wil herinstel!! Aan die anderkant van die munt, nie genoem nie, is dat vele blankes ook wanpersepsies oor swartes huldig, en hulle politiek in suiwer wit versus swart oorheersing beskou, en nie as ANC versus 'n multikulturele opposisie, wat werklik die geval is nie, waarvan blankes 'n deel van uitmaak.
In elk geval. Die stelling in jou uittreksels bevestig juis my pleidooi dat blankes vir die opposie moet stem, en nie wegbly nie, sodat die 65.9% ANC ondersteuning verder verminder word, hopelik na hierdie verkiesing, ver onder die 60%.
mbt. Die 2013 matriek uitslae. Ek wil nie die vordering afkraak nie, want vordering is beslis gemaak. Waar ek eerder opgewonde sou wou word is om te sien dat daar werk vir hierdie matriek leerlinge hierdie jaar wag. Na die euforia vir 'n leerling om matriek te kan maak, en die wanhoop op werk daarna, is die "eina" te groot. Blanke matrieks staan nog minder kans met die ANC se swart-werksreseverings beleid van BEE.
Jaco Fourie
Beste Jaco
Die matriekuitslae is baie soos die weervoorspelling. 30% kans op reën vandag - beteken dat daar 'n 70% kans is dat dit nie gaan reën nie. 'n Slaag van 30% in enige vak beteken eintlik dat jy van 70% van die vak niks weet nie - wat mi nogal gevaarlik is en jou eintlik 'n risiko maak vir enige voornemende werknemer wat jou indiens wil neem.
FC Boot
Ek stem heelhartig met jou saam, inteendeel, alle logika het dit dat die slaagsyfer ten minste 50% behoort te wees. Onder die ou bedeling was dit 40%.
'n Werkgewer verlang gewoonlik die mees geskikste persoon wat vir hom die voordeligste produktiwiteit gaan lewer met die minste moeite. Hierin ontsê die staat die werkgewer sy reg tot vrye keuse, deur middel van sy afpersende BEE beleid. Die voornemende werkgewer se keuses is beperk tot 'n spesifieke rassegroep, uitsluitlik tot swart bevoordeling.
Solank die ekonomie nie vry is nie, solank gaan die regering met werkskepping sukkel.
Ons sien reeds die gevolge van die regering se autokratiese optredes tov visser lisensies in die Kaap, waar hulle
suimier lynvis lisensies ingekort het sonder vooraf onderhandeling met die betrokke vissermanne, wat tot gevolg van grootskaalse werkloosheid in die bedryf veroorsaak, en prysstygings in die mark.
Hierdie manne is nie by vakunies betrokke nie, dus lyk dit asof die regering nie 'n vlenter vir hulle omgee nie.
Jaco Fourie
Beste Jaco
Dit moet teen hierdie tyd duidelik wees dat onder die ANC-regering die onderskeid tussen party en staat
besig is om te verdwyn. Dit blyk duidelik uit die totale misbruik van Tshwane Metropolisie wat as beskermingseenhede gebruik is vir Zuma en sy gevolg tydens sy bekendstelling van die ANC se verkiesingsmanifes
in Mpumalanga.
Die voertuie en mannekrag word betaal deur die inwoners van Pretoria/Tshwane en is totaal buite hul regsgebied vir doeleindes aangewend wat niks met hul funksies te make het nie. Voeg daarby die feit dat Zuma belowe het om terug te keer en beeste te slag as hy 90% van die stemme kry en van die inwoners van mening is dat hy darem oulik dans, maak dit duidelik dat demokrasie 'n heel ander betekenis in Afrika het.
Die ANC het vrede met gewone brood en bottersake en sal kiesers enigiets belowe en alle staat en semi-staatmasjinerie inspan om stemme te werf en daarom gaan die Nkandla en Gupta-skandale min invloed in die verkiesing hê omdat dit afgelag en afgeskryf word as propaganda van hoofsaaklik ontevrede witmense, wat dit selfs durf waag om die gehalte van die matriekuitslae te bevraagteken.
Ek stem saam dat elke mens sy stem moet uitbring maar 'n mens moet ook met realistiese verwagtinge stem
en besef dat Blankes se siening van die ANC nie noodwendig gedeel word deur die meerderheid swart kiesers nie.
FC Boot
Dankie vir jou insiggewende bydraes hierbo. Ek het dit geniet.
Natuurlik is Jaco Fourie ook net so opgewonde hierdie verkiesing 2014 oor hul "oposisie" in die piesang DANCe: http://www.sowetanlive.co.za/community/2010/11/29/zuma-and-zille-get-down#2